Why The Rupee Keeps Losing Against The US Dollar, Why Is RBI Not Intervening?
The Indian rupee is once again under pressure, even as the US dollar weakens globally. One key reason is the persistent dollar demand from foreign banks, likely driven by corporate outflows and importer hedging. At the same time, rising US bond yields are making dollar assets more attractive, putting pressure on emerging market currencies like the rupee. While India’s macro indicators — like inflation and growth — remain stable, the global environment is turning risk-averse. Some believe the RBI is letting the rupee adjust gradually instead of burning reserves to defend a level. Forward premiums are also dipping, hinting at reduced confidence in future rupee stability. Geopolitical factors, upcoming Fed commentary, and the G7’s economic agenda are all adding layers of uncertainty. As the USD/INR edges closer to 86, the conversation is shifting — is this a short-term move, or are we quietly entering a new normal for the rupee?
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