A debate on Tamil Nadu’s upcoming assembly elections examines whether actor-turned-politician Vijay’s TVK party will be the decisive X-factor. Pollster Amitabh Tiwari notes that Vijay is ‘largely targeting the minority and the Dalit vote bank of the DMK’ but questions whether he can translate leader popularity into organizational votes. Analyst Sandeep Shastri suggests Vijay may need an alliance with the NDA to pose a real challenge, stating Tamil Nadu has ‘generally seen a two alliance contest with always a distant third player’. Yashwant Deshmukh reveals Vijay’s vote share intent ‘has never crossed 15%’ in their tracking, warning he could end up ‘like the phenomena of PK in Bihar’ if he contests alone. The panel also discusses whether MK Stalin can overcome two-term anti-incumbency, the impact of corruption charges against the DMK, and the battle between Tamil sub-nationalism and national narratives in a state where the DMK alliance won 151 seats last time against AIADMK’s 66.
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