In an exclusive interaction, Dr Hooshang Amirahmadi, President of the American-Iranian Council, analyses the two-week ceasefire between Iran and the United States. He argues that while the US caused significant damage, the Islamic Republic demonstrated resilience, proving that regime change is not easily achievable. Dr Amirahmadi highlights a critical shift in Tehran’s power dynamics, stating, ‘the old regime, Khamenei regime is gone,’ and that control now rests largely with the Revolutionary Guard. He warns that the ceasefire is merely a temporary pause and not a permanent peace, suggesting it could lead to further conflict unless direct, comprehensive negotiations for the normalisation of relations occur. He asserts that the ‘next struggle’ will be internal, between the military radicals and the remnants of the old guard. Directly addressing the US leadership, he cautions that the new establishment in Iran is ‘more radical than ever before’ and advises against interference in domestic Iranian affairs, emphasizing that the Revolutionary Guard now controls strategic assets like the Strait of Hormuz.
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