Shiv Aroor breaks down Donald Trump’s most explosive gamble yet – the possible seizure of Iran’s Kharg Island, the nerve centre of its oil economy. He explains why occupying a tiny island just 25 km off Iran’s coast could trigger the most dangerous battlefield for US forces since Iraq, with Marines landing under missile fire, IRGC units entrenched on fortified terrain, and every resupply run turning into a live ambush. Shiv Aroor lays out how Kharg’s capture may cripple Iran’s war chest in theory, but in practice could trap US troops inside a lethal missile envelope, risk mass‑casualty strikes, and ignite a catastrophic escalation with no clear endgame.
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