A detailed debate on the upcoming Kerala Assembly elections explores whether the pro-UDF local government results will translate into assembly victory. Political analysts Rajat Sethi, Sandeep Shastri, Ashutosh, Yashwant Deshmukh, and Amitabh Tiwari discuss critical factors including anti-incumbency against the two-term left government, the BJP’s rising vote share, and internal Congress leadership battles. One analyst notes that ‘CPM cannot defeat Congress at this point of time in Kerala’ but warns ‘only Congress can defeat Congress in Kerala.’ The discussion highlights that in the last assembly election, the left front won 79 out of 140 seats, with CPM securing 62 seats. Experts analyse whether Congress will repeat its Haryana mistake of internal divisions, the impact of welfare schemes on an aging population, and whether the BJP will benefit if the LDF loses ground. The local body polls two months ago showed strong anti-incumbency sentiment.
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