Colonel John Spencer, Executive Director of the Urban Warfare Institute and Iraq war veteran, analyzed President Trump’s threats to strike Iranian civilian energy infrastructure including power plants, oil wells, and Kharg Island. Spencer described Trump’s warnings as credible threats designed to compel Iran’s regime to comply with US objectives. He stated, ‘All war is an act of force or the threat of force to compel your enemy to do your will.’ Spencer argued the threats target infrastructure the regime needs to maintain power, particularly oil revenue and electricity for internet control. He dismissed claims that the US is caught in an escalation trap, saying such assessments are misinformed and simplistic. Spencer noted that Iran has been significantly weakened over 30 days of conflict, with missile launches reduced from 300 to 30 per day. He suggested limited military operations, possibly including special forces missions, are more likely than a full ground invasion. Spencer believes the operation will ultimately create greater regional peace and security for global shipping lanes.
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