Professor Bernard Haykel of Princeton University discusses the escalating West Asia conflict entering its fifth day, exposing deep fault lines between Iran and Gulf states. He explains that Iran had warned it would ‘escalate and sow chaos’ if faced with an existential threat, targeting regional energy markets and security. The Iranians are attacking UAE, Qatar, and other Gulf nations to create a global crisis and deny President Trump a quick victory. Heichel notes Trump killed most potential negotiating partners in the first strike that eliminated Ayatollah Khamenei. He reveals Iran’s ‘command and control structure has broken down completely,’ with Revolutionary Guard units operating autonomously. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and UAE face a dilemma between defending themselves and avoiding alignment with Israel and America. Haykel suggests Oman, previously a mediator, was attacked by Iran, making mediation difficult without ceasefire commitments.
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