An explainer examines whether Iran can manufacture a nuclear weapon or a dirty bomb, and the likelihood of deployment. Currently, Iran possesses approximately 400 kilograms of highly enriched uranium at 60 percent enrichment but requires 90 percent enrichment to produce a fission nuclear weapon. However, Iran could theoretically manufacture a dirty bomb, which uses radioactive uranium particles wrapped around conventional explosives. Unlike nuclear weapons, dirty bombs do not produce nuclear blasts but create clouds of radioactive material designed to induce panic and force evacuations. The explainer notes that while Iran has the technological capability to produce such weapons, actual deployment remains extremely unlikely due to severe repercussions, including potential nuclear retaliation from the United States and Israel. The analysis describes dirty bombs as area denial and terror weapons rather than instruments of mass destruction.
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