This special report decodes the exit polls for the Bihar Assembly election, highlighting a tight contest and complex voter dynamics. The Axis My India exit poll projects a narrow lead for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, with 121-141 seats, while the Tejashwi Yadav-led Mahagathbandhan (MGB) is forecast to secure 98-118 seats. Projections suggest the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) may emerge as the single largest party. A key analytical point is the demographic split, with women (‘Mahila’) voters reportedly favoring the NDA, and youth (‘Yuva’) voters strongly backing the MGB. The analysis, featuring politicians and pollsters, delves into the BJP’s leadership structure in Bihar, its reliance on Nitish Kumar, and the electoral impact of Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraj party, which exit polls predict will have a limited effect.
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