In this special report, former Indian diplomat and West Asia expert Talmiz Ahmad analyses the rapidly evolving situation in Iran amidst rising tensions with the United States. Ahmad observes that ‘there is no evidence of a pullback so far’ regarding American military posturing and aggressive rhetoric. He highlights the severity of internal Iranian protests, driven by extreme economic privation, including a 72% rise in food prices and 84% national inflation. Ahmad suggests a ‘robust American and Israeli hand’ is fomenting discord but doubts the protests alone can achieve regime change. He further critiques India’s current ‘low-key approach,’ urging New Delhi to strongly reject the use of force against Tehran to protect regional interests. The discussion covers the complexities of potential military strikes, the lack of regional support for an American assault, and the historical failures of US interventions in the Middle East.
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