This special report unpacks the volatile political landscape of Bihar, focusing on Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s frequent alliance shifts and the rising challenge from RJD’s Tejashwi Yadav. A key factor in the 2020 elections that saw Nitish Kumar’s JDU shrink was when ‘Chirag Paswan, who referred to himself as Modi’s Hanuman, played a key role in dumbsizing JDU by contesting against it’. The narrative traces the formation and collapse of the Mahagatbandhan in 2015 and 2017, Nitish’s return to the NDA, his 2022 reunion with the RJD, and the dramatic 2024 switch back to the BJP. As anti-incumbency grows and Tejashwi positions himself as a new-generation leader, this report analyses the complex dynamics of caste, governance, and ambition shaping the political battlefield ahead of the 2025 assembly elections.
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