This special report details the India Today-Axis My India exit poll for the 2025 Bihar assembly elections, which projects a tight contest. The poll gives the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, a narrow lead with a projected 121-141 seats in the 243-member assembly. The Mahagathbandhan, with Tejashwi Yadav as its face, is expected to secure 98-118 seats. The analysis delves into a significant demographic split, with a majority of women voters favoring the NDA, while many in the youth demographic backed the Mahagathbandhan. This report also decodes the impact of caste combinations, party-wise performance, and the roles of other key players like Chirag Paswan’s LJP (Ram Vilas) and Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraj Party, which had a limited effect in its debut.
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