This special report decodes the caste-based voting patterns in Bihar, based on the Axis My India exit poll, focusing on the contest between the NDA and the Mahagathbandhan. The analysis explores why the Extremely Backward Classes (EBCs) and other groups appear to be consolidating behind the NDA, led by Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, while the Mahagathbandhan, under Tejashwi Yadav, struggles to expand beyond its core Muslim-Yadav base. Political analyst Sajjan Kumar explains Nitish Kumar’s enduring appeal to this key demographic: ‘So shashan and ration both were the plank which nurtured them as a formidable constituency and they came together.’ The programme also examines the split in the Malla vote despite efforts by Mukesh Sahni, and the internal challenges hampering the Mahagathbandhan’s campaign.
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